Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.771577 2.127444 2.527787 3.010239 3.574515 4.212196 4.985953
2026-01-04 1.284983 1.741099 2.310607 3.068566 4.044786 5.253066 6.854151
2026-01-11 1.014020 1.518269 2.203892 3.192094 4.565253 6.388751 8.972656
2026-01-18 0.798088 1.304914 2.047220 3.192927 4.890523 7.281079 10.860778
2026-01-25 0.618518 1.097039 1.847249 3.079013 5.011600 7.877298 12.379846
2026-02-01 0.486348 0.930659 1.672479 2.961226 5.090345 8.396358 13.816261
2026-02-08 0.405035 0.830388 1.581959 2.954980 5.328857 9.166105 15.692549
2026-02-15 0.342799 0.750052 1.508846 2.961197 5.579242 9.968808 17.686770
2026-02-22 0.287447 0.670287 1.421292 2.924613 5.744453 10.638617 19.516308
2026-03-01 0.230670 0.574505 1.285596 2.775344 5.683900 10.909447 20.686256
2026-03-08 0.195255 0.516637 1.214101 2.736676 5.817888 11.526255 22.502596
2026-03-15 0.167698 0.470347 1.158111 2.719214 5.986768 12.216486 24.503554
2026-03-22 0.156416 0.461811 1.184344 2.880836 6.536519 13.679575 28.076518
2026-03-29 0.140557 0.438100 1.172436 2.958495 6.924639 14.872598 31.250926
2026-04-05 0.129474 0.424549 1.181960 3.085035 7.429106 16.337225 35.067225
2026-04-12 0.113273 0.392609 1.140861 3.088037 7.665968 17.286884 37.952050
2026-04-19 0.094380 0.347603 1.058077 2.978182 7.637434 17.688366 39.770942
2026-04-26 0.078426 0.307060 0.978943 2.864096 7.583066 18.026293 41.481602
2026-05-03 0.068781 0.284371 0.944379 2.858098 7.780175 18.916743 44.408987
2026-05-10 0.060812 0.265162 0.916079 2.864149 8.006277 19.888707 47.583011
2026-05-17 0.052734 0.243093 0.874936 2.828658 8.124638 20.628609 50.310028
2026-05-24 0.043146 0.212004 0.799381 2.683838 7.946806 20.674851 51.509707
2026-05-31 0.037386 0.194302 0.762912 2.646327 8.043135 21.365814 54.206200